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Connolly’s Top Ten: Boring Draft, Sox Anemic, Wire Best Show

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Connolly’s Top Ten: Boring Draft, Sox Anemic, Wire Best Show

1. Red Sox – Chris Sale compared to Pedro 2000:

* Pedro’s record 18-6 / ERA 1.74 / Scores in losses 1-0 / 2-1 / 2-1 / 3-2 / 5-3 / 3-0

* Chris Sale record 1-2 / ERA 1.19 / Scores in losses 3-0 / 2-1

2. Celtics Playoffs – Minutes per game 2017 vs. Career leaders

* Isaiah Thomas 36.6 / Avery Bradley 37.0 / Al Horford 35.2 / Jae Crowder 35.0 /  Marcus Smart 31.0

* Russell 45.44 / Jo Jo White 42.85 / Antoine Walker 42.69 / Cowens 42.34 / / Larry Bird 41.99

3. NFL Draft – Patriots no buzz so lets go back to five quality years in a row at the draft:

* 1973 – John Hannah, Ray Hamilton, Stingley, Sam Bam

* 1974 – Steve Nelson, Andy Johnson, Sam Hunt

* 1975 – Steve Grogan, Shoate, Russ Francis

* 1976 – Mike Haynes, Pete Brock, Tim Fox, Ike Forte

* 1977 – Raymond Clayborn, Stanley Morgan, Horace Ivory, Don Hasselbeck

4. Paul Pierce in the Hall of Fame?

* Never first team All NBA

Boston Red Sox

5. Local teams and payroll:

Celtics 20th in payroll $93mm

Bruins 23rd in payroll $72mm

Patriots 20th in payroll $160mm

Red Sox 4th in payroll $200mm

6. Should have been Dynasties

Early 1970’s Bruins – just two Stanley Cups was underachieving

Atlanta Braves 1980’s – John Smoltz, Glavine and Greg Maddux and just one

Miami Dolphins 1970’s – Don Shula the most over-rated coach in sports history – had control over multiple hall of famers and only won two

7. Amazing StatEvan Turner had more triple doubles for the Celtics than Dennis Johnson – 3 to 1

8. Old School – Horford is shooting 56.1% from the field in the playoffs – who are the other top five Celtic history in post season?

* Ed Pickney…………61.2%

* Kendrick Perkins…..56.6%

* Kevin McHale……….56.1%

* Bill Walton…………..55.9%

* Cedric Maxwell………54.6%

9. Just a Little Bit Outside – Favorite Cable TV Series in order – Wire, Mad Men, Sopranos, Game of Thrones, Curb Your Enthusiasm, Dexter, Breaking Bad, Man in the High Castle, Deadwood, Boardwalk Empire, House of Card

10. Randomocity

* Pedro never gave up a walk-off home run

* Do Subaru’s come with the Coexist bumper sticker

* Quint’s story about the USS Indianapolis is better than Alec Baldwin’s rant on Glengarry Glen Ross

* I can’t believe there wasn’t a bigger uproar by the media or the Bruins about the unbalanced officiating

* Can I pose an observation? Now this is a not about racism as much as profiling – I think NBA officials measure probability and not actuality – I think often they assume fouls on white players who they perceive not to have the athletic ability to make certain plays – ie – step in front for a charge / block a shot – just watch some of the fouls on Kelly Olynyk

* I asked Kevin Paul Dupont why no one asked David Pastrnak about missing the net or ask Marchand about only scoring 1 goal is 25 playoff games – he told me to ask the fans

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Connelly’s Top Ten – Mile High and then on to Mexico City

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Patriots

1.Patriots in Denver

* 13 of the last 20 games against Broncos played in Denver

* Patriots favored in six of them (favored this weekend) and covered three times

* Patriots are 3-10 in those thirteen games

 

2. Celtics and Bruins

* Kyrie Irving is the most exciting Celtics since Bob Cousy

* David Pastrnak being benched just weeks after signing a $60mm contract is disturbing

* Terry Rozier has to figure out if he is Dee Brown or Sam Vincent

 

3. The 1976 Patriots almost made it to the Super Bowl (except for roughing the passer) – despite the below stats:

* 18 TD passes to 20 Interceptions

* 48 Fumbles / Interceptions in 14 games

* 15 for 25 in field goals (60%)

* 47.2% completed passes (146-309)

* 59.7% QB Rating

 

5. Superstars that came to Boston at the end:

Celtics – Artis Gilmore, Dave Bing, Shaq, Dominique, Pete Maravich

Red Sox – Juan Marichal, Tom Seaver, Orlando Cepeda, Tony Perez, Ferguson Jenkins, Eck – 2nd time, Joe Rudi

Bruins – Jacques Plante, Rogie Vachon, Guy Lapointe, Paul Coffey

Patriots – Chuck Foreman, Harold Jackson, Ocho Cinco, Junior Seau

 

6. More over-rated Paul Pierce or Ghostbusters?

7. Amazing Stat – Tony Eason in 1994 was sacked 59 times including game totals of 10 / 8 / 7 / 6 / 5

8. Old School – In honor of Veterans Day this Weekend (Never has so much been owed by so many to so few” Winston Churchill): Ted Williams last game before Korea:

* April 30, 1952 – Ted Williams Day at Fenway

* Prior to the game the players and fans joined hands and sung Auld Lang Syne to Williams

* He was presented a Cadillac and a Paul Revere Bowl by Mayor Hynes

* In the 8th Inning he a game winning home run – his last at bat

* Wave his cap to the fans

* On August 9, 1953 – Ted Williams two weeks home from Korea – Williams hit a home run off Cleveland as pinch hitter

 

9. Just a Little Bit Outside – In Fifty years, Boston has had only four Mayors:

1968-1984……….Kevin White

1984-1993……….Ray Flynn

1993-2014……….Thomas Menino

2014-Present…….Marty Walsh

 

10. Randomocity

* Temps in the teens yikes

* Now that Bowe Bergdahl has pleaded guilty – doesn’t that take Harry Frazee off the hook for trading Babe Ruth?

* Patriots first got Lagarette Blount for nothing and now Bennett

* If Seth McFarlane made subtle jabs at Kevin Spacey and Harvey Weinstein years ago in shows – shouldn’t people be going through all his other past shows to see who else he zinged –

* Vinnie Barbarino

* Stanley Morgan was never an All Pro

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NFL Week 10 Picks, Patriots At Broncos Sunday Night

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NFL Week 10 Picks, Patriots At Broncos Sunday Night

 

Man I was doing so well, and yet somehow I messed up alot of predictions last week. I was 8-5 picks last week putting my record this year at: 84-48 (75 out 100) for this year so I am happy atleast. But we are still getting to the ending point. Now most teams are battling to get the 1st and 2nd best records for the bye week.

 

Seattle Seahawks @ Arizona Cardinals: Winner- Seahawks

 

Nobody, and I mean, nobody could have predicted that the Seahawks could lose at home! The Redskins managed to win their game against the hawks and I have to give them credit. However, the Cardinals despite their showings, have severe flaws. While Adrian Peterson has brought life back in this team’s run game, their QB play behind Drew Stanton is underwhelming. Carson Palmer was the main player behind this team’s offense and in my opinion, their season isn’t worth risking 34-year-old star receiver Larry Fitzgerald. The team is going against a Seahawks team that is infuriated after losing in such fashion last week.

 

Understand, both teams are coming off short weeks so they are both exhausted and this game will be close. However, I trust Russell Wilson will have a bounce back performance this week. Many project he will be able to score on this Cardinals defense but Patrick Peterson and Tyrann Mathieu are not just a secondary any throws at. At the end of the day, I have been wrong on many of my Thursday picks but I won’t go against my own thoughts. The Seahawks and the Cardinals should play a close game 21-18. (Just please for the love of all that is football, don’t give us a repeat of that 6-6 tie we had last year)

 

New York Jets @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Winner – Jets

 

Oh man, the Bucs have had a massive disappointment of a season. They were considered the next team to win the NFC South. Now, it’s been confirmed through sources, that Jameis Winston is injured and Mike Evans is out due to suspension. Evans’ suspension was due to his blindside hit on Saints rookie cornerback, Marshon Lattimore, who got into a altercation against Winston. The suspension will hurt the Bucs who will now have Ryan Fitzpatrick under center and without a deep threat receiver, DeSean Jackson and rookie tight end Oj Howard will need to step up.

 

At the end of the day, the Jets are at 4-5 but are still a team that can compete for the division, which is unbelievable. This was a team that was suppose to go 0-16 to some, but now it seems like Todd Bowles is likely a  Coach of the Year candidate at this point. While Josh McCown is having a  solid year, he is still a QB that is 38 years old. We will see how this team responds come Sunday but I have the Jets winning this game 27-20.

 

New Orleans Saints @ Buffalo Bills: Winner – Saints

 

The Bills got embarrassed on Thursday night and I was one of them too. Despite their team being one of the more balanced in the league, they have little to offer in the overall passing game. The Saints have been a team that has bounced back from their 0-2 start and are on a hot streak now. Drew Brees going against the Bills defense which is 25th in the passing game (allowed 251.9 passing yards per game) will mean that this team is getting carved alive.

 

The Bills will have home field advantage but honestly, the Bills are a team that seems to be on the downturn from here. While they are ranked 2nd in the AFC East, their record doesn’t seemingly reflect the team’s mood. New Bills Head Coach Sean McDermont has done a good job with the Bills but Sean Payton and Drew Brees have been a HC/QB duo for over a decade now. They know how to work their offense together and its the reason why they are feared for it.

 

The Bills have a strong running game and can use it to expose the Saints defensive line but I think the Saints have this game sealed. I will be taking the Saints 28-20 to win this game.

 

Cleveland Browns @ Detroit Lions: Winner – Lions

 

Browns coming off a bye facing off against a energized Lions team who are home? Just take the Lions, it doesn’t matter if Josh Gordon will be reinstated before the end of this season, he ain’t saving this team. Matthew Stafford and the Lions are likely to run this ball down on them. Even if the Browns have a decent run defense, the Lions don’t run the ball, they live and die with Stafford throwing it down the field. Lions win this game 24-17.

 

Cincinnati Bengals @ Tennessee Titans: Winner -Titans

 

The Titans being 5-3 going into Week 10 is crazy but stranger things have happened. The sad reality is that the Bengals have a great passing defense (arguably Top 5 in the NFL) but the run defense has allowed 116.4 rushing yards per game. The Titans are a team that while they aren’t consistent, the problem with the Bengals are too limited on offense to really make a huge dent in the Titans territory. Marcus Mariota vs. Andy Dalton will be a huge determining factor within this game.

 

Based on match ups here, A.J. Green will be the wild  card as he will be very difficult to shut down for too long. The Titans top CB Kevin Byard leads the league in INTs (6) and will likely be the one who sticks with A.J Green on most snaps. Titans’ only option here is to run the ball hard against the 20th worst ranked run defense on the run game. Titans can win this game if they make sure to limit mistakes, 21-18.

 

Green Bay Packers @ Chicago Bears: Winner – Bears

 

DA BEARS! You could tell on that Sunday night game that the Packers looked lost without Aaron Rodgers playing and with the news of Martellus Bennett being cut, there Tight End situation will be a mess. The Bears are starting to click with rookie Mitchell Trubisky. While the kid is still learning, he is at least getting reps which is important for his progress moving forward.

 

The Packers against the Lions last week tried to make an a few desperate attempts but it is very clear that Brett Hundley can’t lead this team. Despite being one of the more athletic QBs coming out of the 2015 NFL draft, he is still showing signs of lacking the IT factor that most franchise QBs need to have. And becuase of this, the Packers offense is very limited.

 

Chicago’s defense has been quite a surprise this year. 13th against the run (104 rushing yards per game)) and 11th against the pass (207.6 passing yards per game); which demonstrates this team’s defense is very balanced. Overall, despite the Bears going the Packers defense whom are ranked below the Bears in all stats, should be able to get the ball down the field. (The Packers run defense is ranked 22nd in the NFL allowing 118 rushing yards per game). Bears win this game close, 21-18.

 

Los Angeles Chargers @ Jacksonville Jaguars: Winner – Jaguars

 

The Jacksonville Jaguars are a team at home going against the Chargers who are red hot and coming off their bye week. While the Chargers are a team that can put up points, the Jaguars have the best passing defense in the NFL. The Chargers offensive line will test out DE Calais Campbell who leads the league in sacks (11.0), so he will be a huge x-factor on the defensive side of the ball.

 

The Chargers have a team that has Joey Bosa who is 5th in the league in sacks (8.5) and was just honored with the title of most sacks in 20 games to start a career. The Chargers are a team that has shown a remarkable improvement to the start of their season, but the Jags have a dangerous defense.

 

Most importantly, the Chargers are 31st against the run, and the Jaguars are 1st in most rushing attempts. Leonard Fournette is going to be a monster in this game. Jaguars win 24-21 in a close matchup as the Jags have been one of the most unpredictable teams this year.

 

Minnesota Vikings @ Washington Redskins: Winner – Vikings

 

I would normally say the Redskins should win after their impressive upset against the Seattle Seahawks last  week. However, the Vikings are a team that shouldn’t be dismissed. They are a team that has one of the better defenses in the NFL and Teddy Bridgewater likely being able to play this week is good news.

 

I don’t want admit that the Redskins are bad but the injuries that the offensive line have suffered is to substantial to handle. And they don’t have a team that seemingly can be able to get their offense to be consistent. The Vikings defense is that is 7th in the passing yards (200 passing yards per game) and 3rd in the rushing game (81.4 rushing yards per game). I believe that the the Vikings can likely hold the Skins down for the majority of the game and will have a win for certain. Vikings win 24-18.

 

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Indianapolis Colts: Winner – Steelers

 

The Steelers are a team that has a huge talent gap in regards to the offensive and defensive sides of the ball. The Steelers have Antonio Brown who is 1st in the league in receiving yards and Le’Veon Bell is who is 3rd is rushing yards. They have a dangerous offense that is complimented by having a defense that is 14th in rushing yards (106.6 rushing yards per game) allowed and 2nd in passing yards allowed (180 passing yards per game). The Colts are going to get crushed regardless of how many points they put up but the Steelers play down to their competition. The Steelers will likely play this game very close but they will pull out the win 30-21.

 

Houston Texans @ Los Angeles Rams: Winner – Rams

 

Anybody who bets on the Texans are delusional even with a 14 point spread in favor of the Rams because I think it’s arguably even larger than that. Texans couldn’t beat the Colts and their team is banged up on their key positions. The Rams are a team that is likely making the playoffs in the NFC and will win this game without question. They have an offense that has a deep threat in Sammy Watkins, a dual threat in Todd Gurley who is having a great season and Jared Goff has finally living p to that No.1 overall pick. Also, don’t forget Aaron Donald is on the defensive line too.  Rams should beat the Texans 31-14.

 

New York Giants @ San Fransisco 49ers: Winner – 49ers

 

FINALLY A GAME THAT THE 49ERS COULD WIN! maybe. The Giants are a mess. A GIANT MESS. They have the 28th worst passing and 27th worst rushing defense in the NFL. This is a team that is lost. the 49ers are a team that are terrible but the reality is that I have more confidence in their coaching staff (because Ben McAdoo is likely getting kicked out of New York soon).

 

The 49ers have flaws everywhere, but the thing is that their team is much more likely to stay connected. Eli Manning can likely make a strong showing here, but its a big IF. Eli is a difference maker when the pressure is on, but I think that he will likely ask for a trade with how bad this season has gone. The end result is that the Giants have a better overall team but the problem is that the team has no faith in their head coach.

 

I will be taking the 49ers to beat the Giants in an upset as they can’t possibly go 0-10 for the season. The team needs a win and this one of the last few games on the schedule I can see them winning. I would even put Garopollo in this game. 49ers squeeze this win by only a point 21-20.

 

Dallas Cowboys @ Atlanta Falcons: Winner – Cowboys

 

The Cowboys are dealing with Ezekiel Elliot’s suspension, while the Falcons are dealing with a massive hangover. They are a team that has failed to get connected in the red zone especially with Julio Jones which is just unbelievable. The Cowboys have issues but they are still likely pulling out a strong win here in the Falcons new stadium.

 

Dak Prescott has been quietly putting together a great followup season to his phenomenal rookie campaign. 16 TDS to only 4 INTs with 1818 passing yards and 62.9% completion percentage. He is doing a solid job as the Cowboys QB, but losing Zeke who is fifth in the league in rushing yards could force Dak to be more productive this week. The Falcons have a defense that is trying to step up but with the offense in such stagnation, they are easily gassed.

 

It’s also amazing how Jerry Jones is going on a power trip to get Roger Goodell out of the NFL. Suing not just the league but specific owners as well will make him an even bigger outcast then the late Al-Davis was. I don’t know what planet Jerry’s mind is, but it certainly isn’t anything to do with his team. The Zeke situation has gone on long enough, his suspension repeal was denied so he is serving the suspension effectively now.

 

The Cowboys are playing good right now on both sides of the ball but their ownership is going on a mad power trip. I wish the NFL stuck to sports and not politics but that bridge has already been crossed. However, the Cowboys can still win games like they did last week and the Falcons can’t seem to win anything when it comes to their team. Cowboys win 24-21.

 

New England Patriots @  Denver Broncos: Winner – Patriots

 

This was one of the games that I had the Patriots actually losing this year, but with the way that the Broncos are playing, I have my doubts. The team has confirmed that Brock Osweiler will be starting for Week 10 and that is the kind of hope that the team needs with how turnover prone he is. The Patriots defense will likely give up quite a bit early on in the game to make this game very close.

 

The only major issue with the Broncos is their defense, they have one of the best defenses in the NFL, 5th best in rushing defense (allowed only 88.4 rushing yards per game) and the 4th best passing defense (192 passing yards per game). However, the lose of safety TJ Ward has opened up holes in the secondary. The Broncos on offense are starting to hurt their defense due to inability to make big plays and its costing them games.

 

The Patriots have major issues on defense, ranked the worst passing defense in the NFL, almost giving up 300 passing yards per game. And though they had a bye week to recover and regroup, its going to be a challenge. The offense just acquired Martellus Bennett off waivers from the Green Bay Packers after getting cut. Although he is getting older, their is a chance we could see him and Rob Gronkowski play together on Sunday.

 

This game will be close but by the second half, I think Tom Brady, who is having a MVP season will likely win them the game. The Patriots pull out a win 24-21.

 

Miami Dolphins @ Carolina Panthers: Winner – Panthers

 

Man, the Panthers were terrible to begin their whole season and yet they have managed to bounce back. The Dolphins don’t really have much of an offense now with Jay Ajayi no longer on their team, and Jay Cutler is barely even doing much to fix it. Adam Gase will likely be on the hot seat after this season, and he has no one to blame but himself. After his OL coach got taken off the team due to cocaine usage, he seems to be losing things left and right.

 

The Dolphins travel to Carolina, where the Panthers are at home, and have the 2nd best rushing defense and the 6th best passing defense. The Dolphins seem to have no options left but the passing game and I am not sure Jarvis Landry can help the team much. The Dolphins have a strong defensive line still but its barely keeping the team together. Th Panthers will win this game 27-17.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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NFL Talk: Week 9 Picks, Patriots on Bye Week

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Man it felt like we had little to enjoy this week outside of the Seattle-Houston game (which was another GOTY worthy one). As for my picks, for overall teams (not including the spread), I am 76-43 right now going into Week 9. So far, I am improving as these teams are getting into the second half of the regular season. It’s been a tough road for many but many teams will be on the bye week including the Chicago Bears, Cleveland Browns, Los Angeles Chargers, Minnesota Vikings, Pittsburgh Steelers and New England Patriots. To cut things short, the teams this week seem to be much easier to read especially after the crazy trade deadline we just this past Monday.

 

Buffalo Bills @ New York Jets: Winner – Bills

 

Oh boy an AFC East match up!… I would have never said those words at the beginning of this season, but this is an interesting match up. The Jets are actually holding their in the AFC despite having a clear talent gap. Todd Bowles has done a remarkable job covering for their weaknesses. However, the Buffalo Bills are a team that has more talent, a better offense and arguably better defense. The Bills defense are the 4th worst in passing yards allowed per game (266.4 per game) while having the 3rd best in rushing yards allowed per game (80.1 per game).

 

The Jets are the 6th worst run defense in the NFL (allowed 128.2 rushing yards per game) and are 20th in the NFL in pass defense (allowed 233.1 passing yards per game). The Jets are a team that is full of surprises but based on paper, this is a match up that favors the Bills. This is including after the news of the Bills acquiring Wide Receiver Kelvin Benjamin from the Carolina Panthers. This is the game for the Bills to lose, and I don’t see it happening. Bills win 27-24.

 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ New Orleans Saints: Winner – Saints

 

It’s sad how far the Bucs have fallen. (The Fitzpatrick curse is the following: Ryan Fitzpatrick has started after playing backup for every team he has been on, its actually kinda creepy looking it up) However, I think the Bucs aren’t ready to take the next step yet. The Saints had a bad start to the season at 0-2. The ‘Saints defense has really stepped up in the last several weeks while the Bucs defense has struggled. Their passing defense is the 3rd worst in the NFL (allowing 274 passing yards per game).

 

Going against Drew Brees, who is arguably one of the greatest passers in NFL history, is nothing but trouble with that defense. And with the news that Jmies Winston is progressing through, it means the Bucs still can salvage their season but I don’t see it happening in this game. The Saints have a good defense and their offense is finally hitting all gears. Right now, the Saints are the best NFC team outside of the Philadelphia Eagles. The Saints win, 30-24.

 

Atlanta Falcons @ Carolina Panthers: Winner – Falcons

 

Normally, I would choose to go with the home team but this time I am not sure. This is a toss up game but I can make arguments that this could go either way. The Falcons are a team that has been suffering a lot of issues on offense particularly with Julio Jones who only has 1 TD for the season which is ridiculous. A team like the Atlanta Falcons last season had one of the greatest offenses we have seen in the last several years.

 

I don’t know if the Falcons can turn their season around with the Saints on the rise but this is a must win for them. Especially if they hope to make it to the playoffs. The Panthers lost #1 wide receiver, Kelvin Benjamin, to the Buffalo Bills for a future third and seventh round pick. Without their top receiver, Cam Newton is just running into another problem on top of his other ones. Christian McCaffery is their leading receiver/running back and is still not living up to his hype.

 

But the Panthers greatest strength is their defense at the end of the day. 3rd in passing defense (allowed 182.4 passing yards per game) and 5th in run defense (allowed 81.6 rushing yards per game). However, despite this defense being able to generate turnovers there is still issues to be concerned about. The Atlanta Falcons have issues on offense but if they rely on their running game they can get some points. I have the Falcons winning 24-21 against the Panthers

 

Los Angeles Ram @ New York Giants: Winner – Rams

 

The Rams are 5-2 for the season, which is tied with the Seattle Seahawks for the NFC West division. It feels like new Head Coach Sean McVay is seemingly got this offense working and it shows. Right now, Sean McDermont of the Buffalo Bills and McVay are in the running for Coach of the year. However, the New York Giants are a team that can full of surprises.

 

The Giants offense is a lost cause at this point, even when their play calling is fixed. Their offensive line still is a major problem and the running game is still inconsistent. The Giants defense is 10th worst in the league in run defense (120.7 rushing yards per game, just above the Patriots) and 6th worst in passing defense (258.7 passing yards per game). The Giants literally are in the running for a Top 5 pick in the the 2018 NFL draft.

 

As of now, the Rams have this game locked and sealed. What the Giants did against the Broncos two weeks ago was a case of the Broncos getting too cocky. The Rams are a team not to take lightly, they should win this game 24-17.

 

Baltimore Ravens @ Tennessee Titans: Winner – Titans

 

This is a tough game to call. The Baltimore Ravens have the better defense but the Tennessee Titans have the better offense in this game. At this point, the teams that are horrible typically are harder to predict, especially the Ravens who play hard when they are mad, but that only happens week to week, there isn’t much consistency there. The secondary is still pretty banged up but the defensive line is getting back into shape. C.J Mosley had a seasonal game last Thursday against the Dolphins.

 

However, the Dolphins are tanking now and looking at the Titans, they have a better roster. The Titans don’t have the same type of physical defense like the Ravens. But their pass defense has allowed 229 passing yards per game and their run defense has allowed 100 rushing yards per game. (10th in the NFL) The Ravens likely will have Joe Flacco out for this game, which means their passing attack will be gone. Ryan Mallet might not be a great overall QB but he is serviceable. But for this game, I can’t bet on them winning through their defense alone. Titans should win in a close match up, 21-20.

 

Cincinnati Bengals @ Jacksonville Jaguars: Winner – Jaguars

 

Normally the Jags would be a team that would be too risky, but I got to take them. Blake Bortles is minimizing mistakes, Leonard Fournette is playing like a Top 5 running back and their defense is good. Really good. Right now, would I say that the Jags are a contender for the AFC South title? Yes. Can they beat the Texans? Only Deshaun Watson falls off, then maybe.

 

But right now, the Bengals are coming in after their win over the Indianapolis Colts. The Bengals offense has been good so far for this year but Andy Dalton typically plays well when he is allowed to make adjustments at the line of scrimmage. The Bengals defense has been 18th against the run (allowed 118 rushing yards per game) and 4th in passing (allowed only 183 passing yards per game).

 

The Jaguars defense is 1st in passing defense (161.7 passing yards per game) and 32nd in run defense (allowing 138.6 rushing yards per game). That gives you a very clear contrast on how unpredictable this team is. However, The Bengals’ defense will be tested against the Jags run game and it should be a close match, but I have the Jaguars winning this game 24-21.

 

Denver Broncos @ Philadelphia Eagles: Winner – Eagles

 

Let’s get something straight here: The Broncos are benching Trevor Siemian for Brock Osweiler and the Eagles have the best run defense in the NFL. All I got to say to the Broncos: Good Luck. Because even with a change at QB, this team won’t be able to manage much against the Eagles. They are a team that is all in on this season now.

 

The Broncos have the 2nd best run defense (allowing 72 rushing yards per game) and 6th in passing defense (188 passing yards per game). This is an elite defense but their offense has no consistency and against the Eagles who now have Jay Ajayi, who was traded from the Miami Dolphins, they have a dangerous two-headed monster in the backfield. Even on the Eagles worst day, they are the team to beat in the NFC. Eagles win this game 27-20.

 

Indianapolis Colts @ Houston Texans: Winner – Colts

 

Never thought I would say this, but the Texans are SCREWED. Deshaun Watson just tore his ACL at Thursday’s practice and is likely going to miss the rest of the season if its as serious as it was reported. He was the leader of this team’s offense and now that he is out it will be turned over to Tom Savage now for this week’s game.

 

I would say that the Texans defense should do a good enough job of holding down the Colts but the Colts are a team that has come to accept their season after losing Andrew Luck, who was placed on IR this week. I believe their team is better prepared to handle their loss then the Texans right now. Colts win in a close match up 21-20. Get better soon, Watson, you might be the future for this team.

 

Washington Redskins @ Seattle Seahawks: Winner – Seahawks

 

The Seahawks are back in action this week. Despite, having a close shootout with the Texans last week, they are still a team that can be a major threat in the NFC. With Aaron Rodgers out for the season and the Falcons struggling, they look like they are one of the few teams that can make it to the Super Bowl. The Redskins look like they can play, but can’t clutch it.

 

The Redskins are a team that are still trying to sort out their situation with Kirk Cousins. While the Redskins have weapons on the offensive side of the ball, they have taken too much damage on their offensive line. The Redskins are fortunate with having Trent Williams is a solid rock at left tackle, he isn’t 100%. The Seahawks have a solid defense but its not the Legion of Boom like it was years ago. After what Deshaun Watson did to that team last week, I wonder how far Kirk Cousins can go.

 

The Seahawks are 12th in passing defense and 20th in rushing defense. They aren’t able to do much against the offense but they aren’t going to break apart. This team is built on making turn overs. (The 4th least amount of points scored; 132) I think the Redskins make some noise but the Seahawks clutch it in the end 27-24.

 

Arizona Cardinals @ San Fransisco 49ers: Winner – 49ers

 

The Arizona Cardinals are a team that feels like they just can’t keep it together. For a moment, they look like they are a legitimate team when Adrian Peterson was brought over from the New Orleans Saints five weeks into the 2017 NFL season. The 49ers have a chance now with the acquirement of Jimmy Garoppolo from the New England Patriots. However, he is likely going to benched for the next several weeks until they Seattle game after the bye week.

 

The 49ers have a young team that has a good foundation in getting Garoppolo as their franchise QB of the future. But its still up in the air whether or not he works out. In the mean time, C.J Beathard will be the 49ers starter for the foreseeable time. drew Stanton will be taking over for Carson Palmer now that he is likely out for the season.(I highly doubt he returns next season after this) The Cardinals are in a bad position but they can put some serious damage on that offense. Their defense still has stars like Chandler Jones, Tyrann Mathieu and Patrick Peterson are still healthy.

 

The 49ers have the 4th worst run defense (allowed 191 rushing yards per game) and bottom 10 in passing defense (allowed 246 passing yards). They are a team that has talent, but no way of being consistent. The 49ers grab their first win of the season in a close match 20-18.

 

Kansas City Chiefs @ Dallas Cowboys: Winner – Chiefs

 

Dak Prescott has been quietly having a great sophomore season. But his team’s running game isn’t doing well, its effected his play. With Ezekiel Elliot’s suspension officially enforced their running game will turn to veteran Alfred Morris. However, the Cowboys have been a team that has shown the potential to make the wild card spot.

 

However, the Kansas City Chiefs are a team that has one of the best offenses in the NFL. Alex Smith is having a career year and Kareem Hunt in the backfield makes this team a real dual threat. Overall, the Cowboys area  solid team, but they aren’t ready to take on this Chiefs team when it comes to controlling both sides of the ball. Chiefs should win 30-24.

 

Oakland Riaders @ Miami Dolphins: Winner – Raiders

 

WHAT ARE THE DOLPHINS DOING? You don’t just trade a running back like Jay Ajayi for a fourth round pick when he literally brought your team to the playoffs last year!? The fact that this team is even contending for the AFC East right now is shocking. I have no idea why Adam Gase approved of this trade but the Dolphins front office clearly is going into the tank now. This could indicate, that the Ryan Tanniehill experiment is over and are ready to move on. Matt Moore is a guy that has a heart but he isn’t the franchise’s future and Jay Cutler…is Jay Cutler.

 

I could go over stats all day but at the end of day who do you trust more: Derek Carr or Matt Moore? If you had to think about it for a few seconds you already lost. The Raiders lost Marshawn Lynch but its for the best. He isn’t showing the explosiveness that he had in his early years and Derek Carr has shown a big dip in production. But the Raiders have a better all around team and after the beating Dolphins got last week, this will be a repeat performance. The Raiders win 24-17.

 

Detroit Lions @ Green Bay Packer: Winner – Lions

 

A Aaron Rodgers-less Green Bay team going up against an upcoming Matt Stafford led Lions team? I wonder who I should bet on. By the way, that was sarcasm. The Lions are a team that needs to get a win, especially with the division up for grabs now. The Packers being led by Brett Hundley will not save this team. It was barely being held together with Rodgers playing.

 

Sadly, the Packers season seems lost now and if they hope to succeed they will not need to minimize mistakes and just hope on getting turnovers, but they type of defense only works when you offense can score points. I don’t feel confident in Hundley to do that so I am leaning on Matt Stafford to get his team a win this week 28-18.

 

 

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